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aodueh

0x64359e...8be868
Smart Score
33
Win Rate
27.3%
Total P&L
-$1.3K
Trade Count
160
Sharpe Ratio
1.47
Sortino Ratio
8.12
Max Drawdown
31.4%
ROI
-34.4%
Profit Factor
0.35
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
033.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY0.3¢200Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY1.5¢100Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY1.5¢100Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY11.0¢18.18Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.7¢100Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.1¢100Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.5¢100Mar 3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.2¢109Mar 3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY2.9¢108.68Mar 3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.2¢197.74Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.1¢96Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY2.0¢133Mar 2
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY2.8¢100Mar 2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY2.1¢56Mar 2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY2.8¢95.63Mar 2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY2.8¢12.83Mar 2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY2.8¢11.92Mar 2
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY5.1¢200Mar 2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY2.5¢69.91Mar 2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.6¢199.23Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%41%< 10%22%10–20%10%20–30%4%30–50%50–70%70–80%6%80–90%15%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.83
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.2%
Win Consistency59.0%
Profit Factor0.86
Drawdown Resilience0.70
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.70
Weekly Sharpe est.0.53
Trading Activity160 trades · 26 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3,7650d profit26d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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