Accrue
Log inGet Access
APE-bro

APE-bro

0x2be012...15d968
Smart Score
80
Win Rate
46.7%
Total P&L
+$196
Trade Count
255
Sharpe Ratio
2.18
Sortino Ratio
145.30
Max Drawdown
23.3%
ROI
24.1%
Profit Factor
8.78
Kelly Fraction
0.413
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
079.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETBUY30.0¢3.333Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY77.6¢6.443Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL70.3¢15.33Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETBUY31.0¢3.226Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETBUY33.0¢3.03Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETBUY35.0¢2.857Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.9¢111.111Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY22.2¢4.505Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY80.1¢1.248Mar 4
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?SELL99.0¢1.66Mar 4
Will Trump say "xAI" during tech signing event on Wednesday?SELL99.9¢1.47Mar 4
Will Trump say "Big Tech" during tech signing event on Wednesday?SELL99.9¢3.12Mar 4
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tech signing event on Wednesday?SELL17.0¢5.88Mar 4
Will Trump's remarks not air?BUY5.0¢20.132Mar 4
Will Trump's remarks not air?BUY7.9¢12.658Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL78.1¢28.17Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY91.3¢10.953Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY65.2¢15.337Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY7.0¢14.286Mar 4
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY17.0¢5.882Mar 4

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%16%< 10%13%10–20%18%20–30%30%30–50%13%50–70%6%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Pro79.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.39
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)72.6%
Win Consistency61.5%
Profit Factor2.07
Drawdown Resilience1.68
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.68
Weekly Sharpe est.1.28
Trading Activity255 trades · 4 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$444d profit0d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics