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arb1ter

0x2ca2a1...afca68
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
31.3%
Total P&L
+$523
Trade Count
672
Sharpe Ratio
0.17
Sortino Ratio
27.62
Max Drawdown
794.4%
ROI
0.7%
Profit Factor
1.13
Kelly Fraction
0.036
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
022.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 5?BUY54.6¢915.073Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 5?SELL40.9¢882.35Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?SELL48.1¢1,542.42Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 8?BUY79.0¢2,903.127Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 5?BUY34.0¢882.353Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?BUY38.9¢1,542.416Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?SELL52.3¢835.89Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?SELL83.1¢857.34Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?BUY59.8¢835.896Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?BUY70.0¢857.337Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?SELL95.0¢958.16Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?SELL95.0¢409.34Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?SELL68.0¢2,712.84Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?BUY60.0¢1,360.217Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?BUY62.0¢484.032Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 4?SELL93.0¢476.19Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?BUY56.0¢178.661Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?SELL74.0¢1,044.96Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?BUY76.0¢409.342Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?BUY39.0¢256.41Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%26%< 10%16%10–20%12%20–30%18%30–50%17%50–70%6%70–80%3%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing22.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.23
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.3%
Win Consistency40.5%
Profit Factor0.58
Drawdown Resilience0.47
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.47
Weekly Sharpe est.0.36
Trading Activity672 trades · 72 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3,03625d profit33d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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