archi53013

0x364692...98ba5a

Smart Score

Win Rate

24.1%

Total P&L

-$3

Trade Count

585

Sharpe Ratio

0.95

Sortino Ratio

35.42

Max Drawdown

251.7%

ROI

-0.3%

Profit Factor

0.99

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	SELL	36.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 5?	SELL	36.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	78.0¢	15	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 5?	BUY	17.0¢	1.807	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 5?	BUY	17.0¢	3.81	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 5?	BUY	17.0¢	1.807	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 5?	BUY	17.0¢	1.229	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 5?	BUY	17.0¢	1.337	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	12.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 5?	BUY	13.0¢	0.79	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 5?	BUY	13.0¢	3.069	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 5?	BUY	13.0¢	3.069	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 5?	BUY	13.0¢	3.069	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?	BUY	21.0¢	1.7	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?	BUY	21.0¢	7.03	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	31.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?	BUY	21.0¢	1.266	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?	SELL	98.5¢	10.03	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 4?	SELL	0.2¢	19.01	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?	SELL	98.2¢	10.1	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.34

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.2%

Win Consistency54.8%

Profit Factor0.63

Drawdown Resilience0.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity585 trades · 31 active days

P&L Calendar

$6711d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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