Ardtysrt01

0x1fc977...d1ace5

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.9%

Total P&L

+$4.3K

Trade Count

809

Sharpe Ratio

1.43

Sortino Ratio

39.73

Max Drawdown

440.0%

ROI

197.2%

Profit Factor

8.16

Kelly Fraction

0.403

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

049.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	SELL	11.1¢	80.79	Mar 4
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	SELL	4.6¢	14.38	Mar 4
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	SELL	4.6¢	1.01	Mar 4
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	1.9¢	76	Mar 4
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	1.9¢	7.96	Mar 4
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	31.9¢	12	Mar 4
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	32.1¢	11.78	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?	BUY	18.3¢	25	Mar 4
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	32.0¢	7.99	Mar 4
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	4.1¢	61.8	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?	BUY	18.4¢	39.08	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?	BUY	18.4¢	2.451	Mar 4
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	33.5¢	59.7	Mar 4
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	0.5¢	101.91	Mar 4
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	0.5¢	12.79	Mar 4
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	0.5¢	89.12	Mar 4
Will Chinese Taipei win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?	BUY	0.9¢	1.66	Mar 4
Will Chinese Taipei win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?	BUY	0.9¢	40	Mar 4
Will Chinese Taipei win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?	BUY	0.9¢	205	Mar 4
Will Chinese Taipei win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?	BUY	0.9¢	246.66	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing49.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.73

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.1%

Win Consistency55.3%

Profit Factor1.29

Drawdown Resilience1.04

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.04

Weekly Sharpe est.0.79

Trading Activity809 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$413d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue