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AreWeStuck

0x0c87d2...476d2c
Smart Score
24
Win Rate
85.4%
Total P&L
+$2
Trade Count
59
Sharpe Ratio
0.27
Sortino Ratio
0.14
Max Drawdown
135.7%
ROI
2.2%
Profit Factor
1.40
Kelly Fraction
0.245
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
023.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Trump visit China by March 31?BUY46.4¢3.448Mar 4
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY98.3¢1.525Feb 28
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?SELL97.0¢1.57Feb 25
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?BUY93.0¢1.075Feb 22
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?SELL98.2¢0.27Feb 22
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?BUY96.9¢1.032Feb 17
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?BUY95.4¢1.572Feb 12
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?BUY85.9¢1.746Feb 10
X banned in U.K. by March 31?BUY95.5¢1.466Feb 5
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?BUY98.2¢1.527Jan 31
US strike on Mexico by January 31?SELL99.3¢1.44Jan 29
Trump out as President by March 31?BUY97.1¢1.545Jan 29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?SELL99.3¢1.05Jan 24
US strike on Mexico by January 31?BUY96.6¢1.449Jan 13
Trump out as President by March 31?BUY96.9¢1.445Jan 8
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?BUY95.0¢1.474Jan 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?BUY95.0¢1.053Dec 31
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?SELL99.7¢1.3Dec 23
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?BUY98.6¢1.116Dec 19
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?SELL99.2¢1.61Dec 14

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%4%30–50%11%50–70%4%70–80%11%80–90%67%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing23.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.31
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.7%
Win Consistency92.9%
Profit Factor0.62
Drawdown Resilience0.50
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.50
Weekly Sharpe est.0.38
Trading Activity37 trades · 28 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$274d profit24d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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