Accrue
Log inGet Access
arghhhh

arghhhh

0x5f5eda...45a628
Smart Score
19
Win Rate
28.6%
Total P&L
+$325
Trade Count
219
Sharpe Ratio
0.25
Sortino Ratio
2.18
Max Drawdown
250.0%
ROI
4.1%
Profit Factor
1.58
Kelly Fraction
0.105
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
018.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?BUY4.8¢42.449Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?SELL11.0¢18.59Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?BUY5.0¢21.6Mar 5
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.6¢180Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?BUY5.0¢115.2Mar 5
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL1.9¢310Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY12.0¢18.167Mar 5
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.4¢492.08Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY12.0¢59.333Mar 5
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.1¢363.29Mar 5
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL1.6¢415.7Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?BUY5.0¢360Mar 4
Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.3¢700Mar 4
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL1.0¢2,000Mar 4
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY2.9¢595.993Mar 3
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY2.5¢203.446Mar 3
Will Mohsen Qomi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.3¢300Mar 3
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.2¢500Mar 3
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.6¢1,003.333Mar 3
US forces enter Iran by March 3?SELL0.6¢1,000Mar 3

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%51%< 10%15%10–20%12%20–30%12%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.02
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.8%
Win Consistency23.2%
Profit Factor0.48
Drawdown Resilience0.39
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39
Weekly Sharpe est.0.30
Trading Activity219 trades · 16 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$1935d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics