arielscbn

0x531837...04b45c

Smart Score

Win Rate

11.4%

Total P&L

-$37

Trade Count

147

Sharpe Ratio

0.71

Sortino Ratio

269.74

Max Drawdown

157.7%

ROI

-5.1%

Profit Factor

0.44

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

02.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 10?	BUY	2.5¢	80	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 10?	BUY	4.4¢	54.545	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 9?	SELL	3.6¢	124.58	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 9?	BUY	6.0¢	124.574	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 9?	SELL	4.9¢	154.54	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 9?	BUY	3.4¢	61.765	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?	SELL	2.7¢	80.28	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 9?	BUY	2.2¢	46.442	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?	BUY	3.5¢	28.571	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?	BUY	3.5¢	51.714	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 9?	BUY	3.7¢	108.108	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?	SELL	3.5¢	137.19	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?	BUY	5.2¢	82.692	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?	BUY	5.0¢	54.5	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 7?	SELL	3.1¢	224.15	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 7?	BUY	2.7¢	224.157	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 7?	SELL	1.7¢	41.66	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 6?	SELL	6.3¢	42.85	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 4?	SELL	3.2¢	65.02	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 3?	SELL	2.2¢	31.79	Mar 2

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing2.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.13

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.1%

Win Consistency28.6%

Profit Factor0.06

Drawdown Resilience0.05

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.05

Weekly Sharpe est.0.04

Trading Activity147 trades · 29 active days

P&L Calendar

$4210d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue