aristocles

0x11157e...2ef08f@aristocrypto1

Smart Score

Win Rate

89.8%

Total P&L

-$2

Trade Count

977

Sharpe Ratio

-0.08

Sortino Ratio

-1.26

Max Drawdown

35565.9%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

1.00

Kelly Fraction

0.001

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.0¢	80	Mar 5
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	97.8¢	62.3	Mar 4
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.1¢	80	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11AM ET	BUY	93.0¢	60	Mar 4
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	99.5¢	40.8	Mar 4
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	46	Mar 4
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	40.8	Mar 3
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	46	Mar 3
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.2¢	50	Mar 3
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.8¢	61.55	Mar 3
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.9¢	61.55	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9AM ET	BUY	97.0¢	74.76	Mar 3
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	74.68	Mar 3
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.2¢	74.68	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	60	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	61	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	2.06	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	25.19	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	6.13	Mar 2

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.44

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.3%

Win Consistency8.2%

Profit Factor0.21

Drawdown Resilience0.17

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.17

Weekly Sharpe est.0.13

Trading Activity977 trades · 85 active days

P&L Calendar

$20,1411d profit84d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue