Arnav2000

0x5cc571...60ef61

Smart Score

Win Rate

44.2%

Total P&L

+$368

Trade Count

350

Sharpe Ratio

0.73

Sortino Ratio

12.70

Max Drawdown

1481.5%

ROI

5.1%

Profit Factor

1.13

Kelly Fraction

0.052

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	20.0¢	138.18	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	14.5¢	138.184	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?	BUY	78.0¢	20	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	SELL	56.0¢	37.52	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	23.0¢	86.957	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	BUY	39.4¢	38.067	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	SELL	5.0¢	14.15	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	BUY	19.0¢	26.316	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	BUY	53.6¢	40	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ET	SELL	56.1¢	52.63	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ET	BUY	38.0¢	52.632	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	37.0¢	54.054	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?	BUY	69.0¢	14.493	Mar 4
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	17.4¢	66.66	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?	BUY	10.2¢	98.315	Mar 4
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	15.0¢	66.66	Mar 3
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?	BUY	13.6¢	73.573	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	44.444	Mar 3
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?	BUY	14.1¢	141.439	Mar 3
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	BUY	28.6¢	140	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.61

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.6%

Win Consistency66.1%

Profit Factor0.76

Drawdown Resilience0.61

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61

Weekly Sharpe est.0.47

Trading Activity350 trades · 28 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,9423d profit25d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue