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0x2be61c...b9e054

Smart Score

Win Rate

31.3%

Total P&L

+$325

Trade Count

4,000

Sharpe Ratio

6.23

Sortino Ratio

97.78

Max Drawdown

5.3%

ROI

5.2%

Profit Factor

1.99

Kelly Fraction

0.156

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

069.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 8?	BUY	6.1¢	26.39	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 8?	BUY	6.1¢	15.016	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 8?	BUY	6.1¢	6.006	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 8?	BUY	6.1¢	8.009	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 8?	BUY	6.1¢	16.017	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 8?	BUY	6.1¢	13.014	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 8?	BUY	6.1¢	20.38	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 8?	BUY	6.1¢	56.06	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	20.0¢	8.71	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 8?	BUY	6.1¢	8.009	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	21.0¢	15.96	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	21.0¢	1.266	Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	SELL	8.9¢	8.72	Mar 5
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 2?	SELL	0.5¢	5.11	Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	SELL	8.9¢	7.99	Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	SELL	6.5¢	0.73	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	32.0¢	7.35	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 10?	SELL	2.3¢	17.76	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 10?	SELL	2.3¢	17.76	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	34.0¢	5.99	Mar 5

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active69.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.82

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)63.2%

Win Consistency65.2%

Profit Factor1.81

Drawdown Resilience1.46

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.46

Weekly Sharpe est.1.11

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue