Asphaleios

0x546244...47eed6

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.8%

Total P&L

+$11.5K

Trade Count

396

Sharpe Ratio

2.23

Sortino Ratio

73.67

Max Drawdown

87.4%

ROI

10.3%

Profit Factor

1.82

Kelly Fraction

0.266

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

043.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?	BUY	91.0¢	813.6	Mar 4
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?	BUY	56.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?	BUY	56.0¢	54	Mar 4
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?	BUY	55.0¢	288	Mar 4
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?	BUY	55.0¢	46.37	Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	BUY	89.0¢	1,375.76	Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	BUY	89.0¢	10.364	Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	BUY	89.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	BUY	89.0¢	12	Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	BUY	89.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	BUY	89.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	BUY	89.0¢	392	Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	BUY	89.0¢	119.87	Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	BUY	89.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	SELL	90.0¢	1,224.25	Mar 4
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	90.0¢	24.5	Mar 4
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	90.0¢	1,199.75	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	9.1¢	27,683.89	Mar 4
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?	BUY	51.0¢	22	Mar 4
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?	BUY	51.0¢	30	Mar 4

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing43.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.41

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.0%

Win Consistency52.6%

Profit Factor1.14

Drawdown Resilience0.92

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.92

Weekly Sharpe est.0.70

Trading Activity396 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$10,8462d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics