AuraMonster

0x07cf80...7aa9fa

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.7%

Total P&L

+$5.0K

Trade Count

3,847

Sharpe Ratio

1.00

Sortino Ratio

123.42

Max Drawdown

42465.8%

ROI

5.8%

Profit Factor

14.33

Kelly Fraction

0.398

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

047.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	29.0¢	7.042	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	29.0¢	6.338	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	69.0¢	498.93	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	26.0¢	47.41	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	45.0¢	80	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	53.0¢	4.255	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	53.0¢	94.69	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	53.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	53.0¢	76.56	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	68.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	53.0¢	23.44	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	48.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	49.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	7.0¢	64.06	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	5.0¢	300	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	9.0¢	133.54	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	4.3¢	300	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	8.0¢	2.1	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	5.0¢	300	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing47.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.62

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.3%

Win Consistency57.6%

Profit Factor1.24

Drawdown Resilience1.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.76

Trading Activity3,847 trades · 51 active days

P&L Calendar

+$3,34335d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue