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Avgustov

Avgustov

0x52d5bb...74ff14
Smart Score
55
Win Rate
62.7%
Total P&L
+$103
Trade Count
339
Sharpe Ratio
2.40
Sortino Ratio
175.26
Max Drawdown
8300.3%
ROI
18.5%
Profit Factor
7.19
Kelly Fraction
0.540
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
055.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 7, 2026?SELL8.0¢7.69Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?SELL66.0¢1.36Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL81.0¢0.99Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY91.0¢1.341Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETSELL66.1¢1.61Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETBUY60.9¢1.642Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETSELL95.0¢1.23Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY86.0¢1.244Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY70.9¢1.41Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETSELL77.1¢1.41Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY70.0¢1.429Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETSELL63.0¢1.76Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY55.9¢1.789Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETSELL97.0¢1.14Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETSELL86.1¢0.38Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY64.9¢1.541Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL87.0¢0.93Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETBUY3.0¢33.333Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETSELL78.1¢1.52Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETBUY65.0¢1.538Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%10–20%20–30%11%30–50%44%50–70%15%70–80%12%80–90%10%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active55.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.03
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)50.1%
Win Consistency29.3%
Profit Factor1.43
Drawdown Resilience1.16
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.16
Weekly Sharpe est.0.88

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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