b69bcnm4

0x100360...ae1ee1

Smart Score

Win Rate

84.8%

Total P&L

-$7

Trade Count

444

Sharpe Ratio

-1.04

Sortino Ratio

-1.13

Max Drawdown

3561.1%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

3.26

Kelly Fraction

0.588

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	97.0¢	44.97	Mar 5
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	SELL	94.7¢	44.48	Mar 4
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	BUY	94.8¢	34.48	Mar 4
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	BUY	94.8¢	10	Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	97.6¢	50.24	Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	97.7¢	50.24	Mar 4
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	94.9¢	45.62	Mar 4
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	94.9¢	45.62	Mar 3
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	95.0¢	44.19	Mar 3
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	95.2¢	44.19	Mar 3
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.2¢	53.45	Mar 3
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	53.45	Mar 3
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?	SELL	97.2¢	51.11	Feb 28
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?	BUY	97.4¢	51.11	Feb 28
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	94.5¢	53.16	Feb 28
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	94.6¢	53.16	Feb 28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	96.3¢	53.73	Feb 28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	96.4¢	53.73	Feb 28
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	94.5¢	54.37	Feb 28
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	94.6¢	54.37	Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.18

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.5%

Win Consistency38.0%

Profit Factor0.56

Drawdown Resilience0.45

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45

Weekly Sharpe est.0.34

Trading Activity444 trades · 36 active days

P&L Calendar

$5510d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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