backtobe

0x3cbbbe...908fa5

Smart Score

Win Rate

75.8%

Total P&L

-$706

Trade Count

617

Sharpe Ratio

-1.94

Sortino Ratio

-1.51

Max Drawdown

1417.5%

ROI

-2.0%

Profit Factor

-0.39

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
GPT-5.4 released by March 16?	SELL	92.5¢	40	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	SELL	84.0¢	40	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 16?	BUY	94.0¢	40	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	82.0¢	40	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	SELL	79.0¢	40	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	80.0¢	40	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	SELL	81.0¢	40	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?	SELL	84.0¢	40	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 16?	SELL	95.0¢	40	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	SELL	85.4¢	200	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	BUY	86.0¢	200	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?	BUY	88.0¢	40	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 16?	BUY	94.0¢	40	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	84.0¢	40	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	88.0¢	200	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	82.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?	SELL	90.0¢	58.47	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	58.46	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	SELL	80.1¢	100	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	81.4¢	100	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency63.2%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity617 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,0067d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue