BadgerWarBucks

0x6d549a...993e28

Smart Score

Win Rate

27.3%

Total P&L

+$37

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

10.04

Sortino Ratio

203.74

Max Drawdown

14.9%

ROI

24.1%

Profit Factor

5.37

Kelly Fraction

0.222

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

064.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?	BUY	8.0¢	50	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	26.0¢	76.923	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	15.4¢	150.44	Mar 5
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	80	Mar 5
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	1.4¢	714.286	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	10.1¢	178.57	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	2.8¢	178.571	Mar 4
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	BUY	7.3¢	136.887	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	13.0¢	76.923	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	1.0¢	490.455	Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	21.3¢	93.897	Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	26.0¢	38.462	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	6.6¢	150.44	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active64.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.53

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)58.3%

Win Consistency36.4%

Profit Factor1.67

Drawdown Resilience1.35

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.35

Weekly Sharpe est.1.03

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue