badmintonmonkey

0x6a9905...ad2cfa

Smart Score

Win Rate

37.6%

Total P&L

+$3.8K

Trade Count

655

Sharpe Ratio

0.30

Sortino Ratio

20.26

Max Drawdown

52.1%

ROI

35.1%

Profit Factor

2.84

Kelly Fraction

0.243

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

056.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?	SELL	0.5¢	44	Dec 9
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?	SELL	0.5¢	203	Dec 9
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?	SELL	1.3¢	38	Dec 9
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?	SELL	1.0¢	85	Dec 9
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India"?	SELL	2.3¢	75	Dec 9
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?	SELL	1.9¢	111	Dec 9
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?	SELL	37.0¢	8	Dec 9
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	SELL	15.0¢	22	Dec 9
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?	SELL	14.0¢	31	Dec 9
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?	SELL	8.0¢	63	Dec 9
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?	SELL	6.0¢	93	Dec 9
Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House press briefing?	SELL	17.7¢	42	Dec 9
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?	SELL	8.8¢	112	Dec 9
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?	SELL	3.4¢	254	Dec 9
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December?	SELL	40.1¢	42	Dec 9
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	SELL	19.0¢	103	Dec 9
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?	SELL	27.0¢	81	Dec 9
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?	SELL	63.0¢	38.26	Dec 9
Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in December?	SELL	11.8¢	198	Dec 9
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	SELL	69.0¢	41	Dec 9

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active56.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.09

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.1%

Win Consistency51.9%

Profit Factor1.46

Drawdown Resilience1.18

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.18

Weekly Sharpe est.0.90

Trading Activity654 trades · 41 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,8185d profit36d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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