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balthazar

0x5a218c...809318
Smart Score
52
Win Rate
64.9%
Total P&L
+$1.0M
Trade Count
915
Sharpe Ratio
1.20
Sortino Ratio
4.17
Max Drawdown
2902.9%
ROI
1192.0%
Profit Factor
69.03
Kelly Fraction
0.640
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
052.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Charlie Davis win Survivor Season 50?BUY99.6¢35.02Mar 4
Will Benjamin "Coach" Wade win Survivor Season 50?BUY99.6¢35.02Mar 4
Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?BUY98.4¢35.02Mar 4
Will Genevieve Mushaluk win Survivor Season 50?BUY99.5¢35.025Mar 4
Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?BUY98.4¢35.027Mar 4
Will Colby Donaldson win Survivor Season 50?BUY99.6¢35Mar 4
Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?BUY94.5¢35.019Mar 4
Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?BUY98.4¢35.02Mar 4
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?BUY13.0¢35.077Mar 4
Will Rick Devens win Survivor Season 50?BUY99.4¢154Mar 4
Will Mike White win Survivor Season 50?BUY99.3¢67Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?BUY32.9¢50Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5.50% and 6.00%?BUY92.0¢50Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by less than 5.00%?BUY98.0¢100Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?BUY33.0¢99.788Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.50% and 7.00%?BUY81.0¢100Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 8.50% and 9.00%?BUY99.0¢50Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.50% and 7.00%?BUY81.0¢50Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 8.00% and 8.50%?BUY99.0¢50Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 9.00% and 9.50%?BUY99.0¢50Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%6%10–20%20–30%5%30–50%5%50–70%5%70–80%11%80–90%57%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing52.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.87
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)47.5%
Win Consistency56.2%
Profit Factor1.36
Drawdown Resilience1.10
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.10
Weekly Sharpe est.0.84

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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