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bearchasm

0x1d7180...436c23
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
32.3%
Total P&L
+$8.6K
Trade Count
818
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34
Sortino Ratio
-1.27
Max Drawdown
194.5%
ROI
23.7%
Profit Factor
153.51
Kelly Fraction
0.321
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Player 99 win Beast Games: Season 2?SELL1.2¢228.81Feb 20
Will Player 99 win Beast Games: Season 2?SELL1.2¢703.459Feb 20
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?BUY10.0¢50Feb 20
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?BUY5.0¢100Feb 20
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?BUY1.3¢400Feb 20
Will Player 99 win Beast Games: Season 2?SELL1.3¢566.693Feb 19
Will Player 99 win Beast Games: Season 2?SELL1.3¢873.73Feb 19
Will Player 195 win Beast Games: Season 2?SELL1.3¢1,241.91Feb 19
Will Player 99 win Beast Games: Season 2?SELL1.3¢28.037Feb 18
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?BUY93.5¢14.89Feb 18
Will Player 99 win Beast Games: Season 2?SELL1.5¢66.667Feb 17
Will Player 99 win Beast Games: Season 2?SELL1.5¢472.225Feb 17
Will Player 99 win Beast Games: Season 2?SELL1.5¢372.227Feb 16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY8.0¢100Feb 16
Will "How to Get to Heaven from Belfast" be the top US Netflix show this week?BUY6.8¢5Feb 16
Will "How to Get to Heaven from Belfast" be the top US Netflix show this week?BUY6.8¢95Feb 16
Will "Love is Blind: Season 10" be the top US Netflix show this week?BUY4.2¢10Feb 16
Will "Love is Blind: Season 10" be the top US Netflix show this week?BUY4.2¢90Feb 16
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?BUY5.7¢5.98Feb 16
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?BUY5.7¢99Feb 16

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%21%< 10%10–20%20–30%20%30–50%9%50–70%25%70–80%17%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.45
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.9%
Win Consistency47.2%
Profit Factor0.68
Drawdown Resilience0.55
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55
Weekly Sharpe est.0.42
Trading Activity818 trades · 40 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$16,82313d profit27d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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