beh25

0x6d0fb5...f8bea9

Smart Score

Win Rate

10.9%

Total P&L

+$279

Trade Count

1,968

Sharpe Ratio

0.53

Sortino Ratio

12.22

Max Drawdown

1268.4%

ROI

2.1%

Profit Factor

1.21

Kelly Fraction

0.019

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	9.7¢	200	Mar 5
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?	SELL	27.0¢	98.4	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 4
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?	BUY	52.4¢	66.798	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	1.8¢	200	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	5.0¢	200	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	6.0¢	200	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	6.0¢	200	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	27.3¢	59.121	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	0.1¢	2,500	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.2¢	2,500	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	0.2¢	2,500	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	18.0¢	170	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	18.0¢	30	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	4.1¢	100	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	4.1¢	100	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	4.0¢	124	Mar 2
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?	BUY	31.5¢	98.406	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	5.0¢	163.31	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	5.0¢	26.69	Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.09

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.1%

Win Consistency35.2%

Profit Factor0.52

Drawdown Resilience0.42

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42

Weekly Sharpe est.0.32

Trading Activity1,968 trades · 57 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,18323d profit34d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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