belief6

0x91e8e0...88b571

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.5%

Total P&L

+$396

Trade Count

125

Sharpe Ratio

4.34

Sortino Ratio

1262.20

Max Drawdown

1.4%

ROI

40.7%

Profit Factor

2.53

Kelly Fraction

0.233

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

074.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	70.0¢	20	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	28.0¢	30	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	30.0¢	10	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	72.0¢	10	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	65.0¢	10	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	31.0¢	10	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	33.0¢	10	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	SELL	38.1¢	14.84	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	SELL	31.0¢	5	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	SELL	52.1¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	BUY	48.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	BUY	49.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	BUY	51.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	BUY	48.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	BUY	53.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	BUY	46.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	BUY	49.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	BUY	49.0¢	10	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active74.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.08

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)67.4%

Win Consistency62.9%

Profit Factor1.93

Drawdown Resilience1.56

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.56

Weekly Sharpe est.1.19

Trading Activity125 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$8920d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue