bernier

0x30e673...5186e5

Smart Score

Win Rate

92.3%

Total P&L

+$0

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.70

Sortino Ratio

0.98

Max Drawdown

183.3%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

34.62

Kelly Fraction

0.896

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

038.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 5?	BUY	99.5¢	1.17	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	1.39	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.7¢	1.26	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	1.19	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 6?	BUY	99.5¢	1.14	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	1.22	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	1.47	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.7¢	1.33	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 3?	BUY	99.4¢	1.45	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 3?	BUY	99.6¢	1.47	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 2?	BUY	99.9¢	1.38	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.39	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.2¢	1.17	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 2?	BUY	99.5¢	1.1	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 1?	BUY	99.6¢	1.34	Feb 27
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?	BUY	99.9¢	1.26	Feb 27
Will XRP reach $3.20 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	1.15	Feb 27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	1.15	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	1.3	Feb 27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	1.2	Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing38.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.14

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.4%

Win Consistency53.8%

Profit Factor1.01

Drawdown Resilience0.82

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.82

Weekly Sharpe est.0.62

Trading Activity28 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$380d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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