BestRewardor

0x9a9675...13c691

Smart Score

Win Rate

49.0%

Total P&L

-$51

Trade Count

549

Sharpe Ratio

1.99

Sortino Ratio

63.70

Max Drawdown

134.1%

ROI

-0.4%

Profit Factor

1.08

Kelly Fraction

0.038

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?	SELL	1.8¢	31.24	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	1.1¢	794	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	3.7¢	254	Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	5.5¢	7.42	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	3.8¢	254	Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	5.7¢	7.423	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	0.8¢	1,246	Mar 5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	BUY	20.0¢	19.25	Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	4.0¢	7.94	Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	4.1¢	3.549	Mar 5
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	1.3¢	70	Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	4.1¢	9.86	Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	4.0¢	9.867	Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	5.8¢	25.7	Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	5.7¢	25.705	Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	6.1¢	142.97	Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	6.0¢	142.97	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	0.9¢	1,246	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?	SELL	0.9¢	210	Mar 5
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	1.5¢	26.02	Mar 5

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.75

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.0%

Win Consistency42.9%

Profit Factor0.83

Drawdown Resilience0.67

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.67

Weekly Sharpe est.0.51

Trading Activity549 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,2981d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue