BeyzimShelly

0x5b8f19...762c14

Smart Score

Win Rate

33.9%

Total P&L

-$2.2K

Trade Count

305

Sharpe Ratio

0.88

Sortino Ratio

41.40

Max Drawdown

12.6%

ROI

-4.9%

Profit Factor

0.55

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

052.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	76.1¢	131.484	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	79.7¢	878.632	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	78.3¢	1,022.075	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	71.4¢	840.263	Mar 5
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?	BUY	88.9¢	530.076	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	84.0¢	694.6	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	84.0¢	257.773	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	42.0¢	952.381	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	BUY	37.0¢	27.049	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	SELL	99.1¢	35.3	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	BUY	59.0¢	16.949	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	BUY	52.9¢	18.898	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	BUY	5.0¢	199.193	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	SELL	0.3¢	1,000.37	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	67.9¢	2,468.91	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	71.5¢	3,606.047	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	76.8¢	2,296.654	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	76.7¢	1,955.391	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	76.8¢	1,822.917	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	30.1¢	262.52	Mar 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing52.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.91

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.1%

Win Consistency59.3%

Profit Factor1.38

Drawdown Resilience1.11

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.11

Weekly Sharpe est.0.85

Trading Activity305 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$5,01310d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue