BigDiddyy

0x117da5...94156c

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

+$179

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

3.24

Sortino Ratio

284.78

Max Drawdown

2160.0%

ROI

33.3%

Profit Factor

7.65

Kelly Fraction

0.435

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

056/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?	BUY	56.0¢	35.714	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?	BUY	38.4¢	52.03	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?	SELL	99.4¢	27.02	Mar 3
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?	BUY	75.9¢	105.437	Mar 1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?	BUY	74.0¢	27.027	Mar 1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?	SELL	20.4¢	41.75	Mar 1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?	BUY	23.9¢	41.754	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	3.0¢	333.333	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	4.0¢	250	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	2.2¢	136.364	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	2.5¢	120	Feb 28
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?	SELL	99.7¢	69.03	Feb 28
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?	BUY	72.4¢	69.034	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	3.9¢	128.205	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	SELL	93.0¢	23.8	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	93.0¢	101.44	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	69.0¢	101.449	Feb 28
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	BUY	5.0¢	100	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	BUY	42.0¢	23.81	Feb 27

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active56

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.08

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.0%

Win Consistency58.3%

Profit Factor1.46

Drawdown Resilience1.18

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.18

Weekly Sharpe est.0.90

Trading Activity19 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$952d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue