bigshort

0x21d5d6...ec9925@xingzhn80640983

Smart Score

Win Rate

84.2%

Total P&L

-$911

Trade Count

3,123

Sharpe Ratio

0.20

Sortino Ratio

0.79

Max Drawdown

2048.9%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

0.94

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31?	BUY	93.8¢	96.29	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	40.0¢	136.07	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	40.0¢	80.36	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	62.0¢	115.08	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	62.0¢	109.66	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	40.0¢	80.36	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	60.0¢	24.38	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	60.0¢	1.667	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	60.0¢	1.667	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	60.0¢	247.55	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	35.0¢	200	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	59.9¢	45.87	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	59.9¢	253.748	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	59.0¢	174.6	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	32.0¢	3	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	29.0¢	200	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	26.0¢	88.79	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	39.0¢	129.99	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	38.0¢	39.61	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	33.8¢	28	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.2%

Win Consistency70.9%

Profit Factor0.55

Drawdown Resilience0.44

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.44

Weekly Sharpe est.0.34

Trading Activity2,207 trades · 221 active days

P&L Calendar

$113,08560d profit161d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue