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blazare

0x22106f...138812
Smart Score
2
Win Rate
30.8%
Total P&L
-$8.4K
Trade Count
43
Sharpe Ratio
0.27
Sortino Ratio
2.70
Max Drawdown
80.7%
ROI
-97.4%
Profit Factor
0.00
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
02.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Bryce Hall be the biggest winner of The House Poker Night?BUY0.2¢1,435Nov 4
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more? SELL22.0¢13.04Nov 4
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more? BUY23.0¢13.043Nov 4
2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?BUY1.5¢1,016.611Oct 26
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?SELL39.6¢38.96Oct 26
Will Gavin Newsom be D-nom for VP on Election Day?BUY0.1¢9,390Oct 25
Trump wins every swing state?SELL28.0¢33.55Oct 25
Will another team win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?BUY0.5¢2,737.334Oct 25
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?SELL60.4¢21.68Oct 25
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 F1 season?BUY3.8¢594.034Oct 25
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?SELL98.0¢22.74Oct 25
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?BUY69.3¢21.688Oct 20
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?BUY67.0¢22.746Oct 20
Trump wins every swing state?BUY29.0¢33.552Oct 20
Israel military response against Iran in October?BUY50.9¢56.267Oct 20
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?BUY30.8¢38.961Oct 20
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1¢142,000Oct 20
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1¢142,000Oct 20
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1¢142,000Oct 20
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1¢69,440Oct 17

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%81%< 10%10–20%5%20–30%5%30–50%8%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing2.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.13
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.1%
Win Consistency38.5%
Profit Factor0.06
Drawdown Resilience0.05
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.05
Weekly Sharpe est.0.04

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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