bmwm

0x014944...fe03d0

Smart Score

Win Rate

74.1%

Total P&L

+$36

Trade Count

102

Sharpe Ratio

-0.15

Sortino Ratio

-0.19

Max Drawdown

42433.2%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

11.40

Kelly Fraction

0.676

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

033/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	BUY	31.0¢	6.452	Mar 5
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?	BUY	98.8¢	5.061	Feb 24
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	BUY	61.0¢	100	Feb 23
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	87.0¢	5.747	Feb 10
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	7.107	Jan 24
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?	BUY	92.3¢	4.334	Jan 10
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?	BUY	99.6¢	6.667	Dec 8
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	96.0¢	3.125	Nov 13
Pump.fun >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?	BUY	99.4¢	6.509	Jul 15
BLAST.tv Austin Major: MOUZ vs. Liquid	BUY	63.0¢	3.175	Jun 13
Will the highest temperature in London be between 81-82°F on June 13?	BUY	98.6¢	223.232	Jun 13
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?	BUY	91.2¢	1.096	May 23
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?	BUY	88.0¢	1.136	May 23
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?	BUY	92.3¢	1.083	Mar 6
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy?	BUY	77.0¢	1.299	Mar 6
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?	BUY	94.0¢	1.064	Feb 11
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?	SELL	44.0¢	0.27	Feb 11
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?	SELL	25.0¢	1.07	Feb 11
Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?	SELL	2.0¢	0.76	Feb 11
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?	BUY	66.0¢	1.515	Dec 18

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing33

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.82

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.0%

Win Consistency51.8%

Profit Factor0.86

Drawdown Resilience0.69

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.69

Weekly Sharpe est.0.53

Trading Activity13 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$3240d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue