bobby467

0x1385c8...2a1cf9

Smart Score

Win Rate

24.5%

Total P&L

-$6.3K

Trade Count

756

Sharpe Ratio

0.87

Sortino Ratio

157.41

Max Drawdown

1851.6%

ROI

-3.1%

Profit Factor

0.70

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	2.1¢	9,010.92	Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 11AM ET	BUY	4.6¢	1,183.4	Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 11AM ET	BUY	2.9¢	1,740.459	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	BUY	3.0¢	341.29	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	BUY	1.0¢	500	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	500	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	6.5¢	483.31	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	14.7¢	1,518.76	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	27.4¢	1,263.19	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	27.6¢	1,234.05	Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	2.4¢	9,010.921	Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	0.5¢	42,681.81	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	0.4¢	500	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	15.9¢	31.447	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	8.3¢	84.167	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	31.0¢	483.313	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	30.3¢	494.951	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	18.1¢	553.277	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	SELL	0.5¢	74,923.56	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	18.0¢	678.469	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.17

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.4%

Win Consistency34.9%

Profit Factor0.55

Drawdown Resilience0.45

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45

Weekly Sharpe est.0.34

Trading Activity756 trades · 34 active days

P&L Calendar

$11,83112d profit22d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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