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bojackson

0x4dfbe1...923d61
Smart Score
77
Win Rate
84.6%
Total P&L
+$16
Trade Count
32
Sharpe Ratio
2.94
Sortino Ratio
2.94
Max Drawdown
36.6%
ROI
4.3%
Profit Factor
18.09
Kelly Fraction
0.799
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
076.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?BUY97.8¢1.145Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?BUY95.0¢2.379Mar 5
House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?BUY96.0¢2.625Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?BUY95.3¢22.76Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY88.0¢2.227Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY88.0¢2.227Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY88.0¢4.216Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY90.0¢6.044Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY89.0¢4.157Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY95.0¢26.179Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY89.0¢9.888Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY91.0¢9.637Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.0¢4.653Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?SELL85.4¢4.88Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL83.0¢9.48Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.9¢3.749Mar 4
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY97.9¢5.802Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY77.0¢9.481Mar 4
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?SELL99.9¢4Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?BUY76.5¢4.889Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%4%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%25%70–80%21%80–90%50%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Pro76.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.21
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)69.7%
Win Consistency76.9%
Profit Factor1.99
Drawdown Resilience1.61
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.61
Weekly Sharpe est.1.23
Trading Activity32 trades · 7 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3490d profit7d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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