0x9016b7...b789ec

0x9016b7...b789ec
Smart Score
37
Win Rate
14.3%
Total P&L
-$20
Trade Count
396
Sharpe Ratio
1.35
Sortino Ratio
4.61
Max Drawdown
10.8%
ROI
-7.2%
Profit Factor
-0.06
Kelly Fraction
1.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
036.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.2¢1,300Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.2¢1,300Mar 5
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q1 2026SELL0.4¢5Mar 5
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q1 2026SELL0.4¢5Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢309.81Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢101Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢47Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢68Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢107Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢152Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢218Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢297.19Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢1,300Mar 4
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q1 2026SELL0.4¢20.2Mar 3
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY0.3¢13.7Mar 3
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY0.3¢27Mar 3
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY0.3¢10.02Mar 3
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY0.3¢20Mar 2
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY0.3¢150Mar 2
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY0.3¢8.16Mar 1
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%100%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing36.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.01
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.2%
Win Consistency35.7%
Profit Factor0.95
Drawdown Resilience0.77
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.77
Weekly Sharpe est.0.58
Trading Activity396 trades · 13 active days
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P&L Calendar
$224d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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