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Botadouro

0x797527...8bd3f7@GreenArrow98381
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
59.7%
Total P&L
+$2.2K
Trade Count
994
Sharpe Ratio
0.40
Sortino Ratio
0.81
Max Drawdown
761.3%
ROI
15.4%
Profit Factor
2.23
Kelly Fraction
0.329
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Jensen Huang say "Alpamayo" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?BUY50.0¢6.5Mar 4
Will the announcers say "Blood" or "Bloody" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?BUY45.0¢21Mar 4
Will the announcers say "Blood" or "Bloody" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?BUY44.1¢35Mar 4
Will the announcers say "Blood" or "Bloody" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?BUY41.4¢81Mar 4
Will Trump say "Iran" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY14.0¢52.23Mar 3
Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY34.0¢50Mar 3
Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY25.0¢17.5Mar 3
Will Trump say "NATO" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY17.0¢15Mar 3
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?BUY20.0¢18.75Mar 3
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?BUY20.0¢1.25Mar 2
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?BUY20.0¢36.71Mar 2
Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?BUY25.0¢3.92Mar 2
Will Melania say "Foster" or "Fostering" during Security Council events on March 2?SELL90.0¢9.6Mar 2
Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?BUY25.0¢1.333Mar 2
Will Melania say "Foster" or "Fostering" during Security Council events on March 2?BUY80.2¢9.6Mar 2
Will Melania say "Ukraine" or "Russia" 2+ times during Security Council events on March 2?BUY90.0¢15.16Mar 2
Will Melania say "Child" or "Boy" or "Girl" during Security Council events on March 2?SELL87.0¢0.88Mar 2
Will Melania say "Child" or "Boy" or "Girl" during Security Council events on March 2?SELL87.0¢20Mar 2
Will Melania say "Child" or "Boy" or "Girl" during Security Council events on March 2?SELL87.0¢2.299Mar 2
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 8)BUY77.6¢24Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%6%10–20%9%20–30%24%30–50%33%50–70%14%70–80%8%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.40
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.2%
Win Consistency58.4%
Profit Factor0.66
Drawdown Resilience0.54
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54
Weekly Sharpe est.0.41
Trading Activity994 trades · 143 active days
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P&L Calendar
$3,91333d profit110d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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