bradley

0x74d1ad...341a60

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.0%

Total P&L

+$629

Trade Count

997

Sharpe Ratio

0.19

Sortino Ratio

2.22

Max Drawdown

1864.1%

ROI

1.8%

Profit Factor

1.01

Kelly Fraction

0.003

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

014.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?	BUY	1.9¢	2,814.58	Nov 28
Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?	BUY	1.9¢	74	Nov 27
Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?	BUY	1.9¢	92	Nov 27
Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?	BUY	1.9¢	1,762.75	Nov 27
Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?	BUY	1.9¢	2,930.28	Nov 25
Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?	BUY	1.9¢	5.097	Nov 25
Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?	BUY	1.9¢	31.73	Nov 25
Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?	BUY	1.9¢	2,078.56	Nov 25
Trump flips a 2020 Biden state?	SELL	1.0¢	1,317.22	Nov 6
Trump flips a 2020 Biden state?	SELL	1.0¢	11.99	Nov 6
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34	SELL	0.6¢	10,873.69	Nov 6
Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?	SELL	2.5¢	5,781.69	Nov 6
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?	SELL	0.3¢	40,161.7	Nov 6
Will RFK Jr. win 1-2% of the popular vote?	SELL	0.3¢	7,735.91	Nov 6
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?	SELL	0.3¢	139,384.98	Nov 6
Kamala Harris blowout victory?	SELL	0.2¢	20,900.94	Nov 6
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House	SELL	54.0¢	1,931.009	Nov 6
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?	BUY	1.0¢	8,238.24	Nov 5
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?	BUY	1.0¢	1,000	Nov 5
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?	BUY	1.0¢	750	Nov 5

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing14.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.81

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.4%

Win Consistency23.1%

Profit Factor0.38

Drawdown Resilience0.31

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.31

Weekly Sharpe est.0.24

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue