BRATKABELARUS

0x6c3c9c...464169

Smart Score

Win Rate

61.9%

Total P&L

+$583

Trade Count

1,054

Sharpe Ratio

0.29

Sortino Ratio

27.46

Max Drawdown

1505.4%

ROI

5.9%

Profit Factor

2.37

Kelly Fraction

0.357

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

038.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	40.0¢	24.725	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	37.8¢	29.08	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	27.0¢	11.27	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	41.4¢	11.27	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	34.0¢	29.088	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	63.0¢	0.1	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	63.0¢	0.1	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	63.0¢	0.1	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	63.0¢	0.86	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	29.0¢	30.9	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	SELL	57.0¢	14.54	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	15.0¢	132	Mar 4
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	BUY	55.0¢	17.982	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	32.0¢	30.906	Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?	BUY	78.0¢	25.372	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	78.0¢	11.63	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	85.0¢	11.635	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	45.0¢	24.12	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	89.2¢	11.09	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	31.0¢	5.87	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing38.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.11

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.8%

Win Consistency49.3%

Profit Factor1.00

Drawdown Resilience0.80

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.80

Weekly Sharpe est.0.61

Trading Activity1,054 trades · 56 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,31917d profit39d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue