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Breadwinner111

Breadwinner111

0x652efc...d54a94@evthin_online
Smart Score
36
Win Rate
18.8%
Total P&L
+$69
Trade Count
1,191
Sharpe Ratio
0.90
Sortino Ratio
22.70
Max Drawdown
408.5%
ROI
6.5%
Profit Factor
4.32
Kelly Fraction
0.144
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
035.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in March 2026?BUY3.2¢66Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL0.2¢24Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL20.4¢11.16Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY5.6¢9Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY5.6¢15Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY5.6¢20Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY7.5¢14Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY2.4¢24Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY10.1¢11Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL3.1¢15Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL15.3¢0.96Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in March 2026?SELL5.0¢2.97Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in March 2026?SELL10.0¢20Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in March 2026?SELL10.0¢11Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in March 2026?SELL4.9¢11Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in March 2026?SELL5.1¢28.5Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in March 2026?SELL6.0¢11Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in March 2026?SELL3.0¢6Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in March 2026?SELL3.0¢6Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in March 2026?SELL6.1¢8Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%62%< 10%17%10–20%8%20–30%8%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.96
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.4%
Win Consistency48.6%
Profit Factor0.93
Drawdown Resilience0.75
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75
Weekly Sharpe est.0.57
Trading Activity1,191 trades · 44 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$1422d profit22d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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