BTCOG

0x1fea40...0f5685

Smart Score

Win Rate

72.9%

Total P&L

+$1.1K

Trade Count

350

Sharpe Ratio

0.63

Sortino Ratio

9.43

Max Drawdown

643.1%

ROI

5.7%

Profit Factor

1.97

Kelly Fraction

0.358

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

039.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	88.0¢	500	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	65.0¢	110.22	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 6?	BUY	15.0¢	15	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 6?	BUY	22.0¢	9.9	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	64.0¢	120	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	BUY	42.0¢	230.22	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	94.8¢	63.94	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 12, 2026?	BUY	96.7¢	78.64	Mar 5
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	3.0¢	15	Mar 5
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	4.9¢	200	Mar 5
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	8.5¢	5	Mar 5
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on March 5?	SELL	77.6¢	8.44	Mar 5
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	16.7¢	20	Mar 5
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	22.1¢	328.25	Mar 5
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	97.0¢	11.19	Mar 4
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	91.0¢	8.44	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4?	SELL	0.2¢	588.96	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?	SELL	1.1¢	100	Mar 4
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	92.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	90.0¢	5	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing39.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.18

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.0%

Win Consistency54.5%

Profit Factor1.03

Drawdown Resilience0.83

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.83

Weekly Sharpe est.0.63

Trading Activity350 trades · 40 active days

P&L Calendar

$13,2165d profit35d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue