btrb2

0x4e36b4...156253

Smart Score

Win Rate

53.5%

Total P&L

+$675

Trade Count

438

Sharpe Ratio

0.54

Sortino Ratio

3.46

Max Drawdown

1836.3%

ROI

4.5%

Profit Factor

3.73

Kelly Fraction

0.392

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

034.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	80	Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	3.8¢	80	Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?	BUY	96.8¢	50	Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?	BUY	3.3¢	50	Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.6¢	50	Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	3.5¢	50	Mar 5
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.0¢	120	Mar 5
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	1.1¢	120	Mar 5
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	98.4¢	90	Mar 5
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	1.7¢	90	Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	1.9¢	110	Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	98.2¢	110	Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	82.8¢	10	Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	83.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	1.5¢	120	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.6¢	120	Mar 4
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.0¢	110	Mar 4
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	1.1¢	110	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	4.1¢	110	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	96.0¢	110	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing34.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.92

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.8%

Win Consistency44.0%

Profit Factor0.91

Drawdown Resilience0.73

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73

Weekly Sharpe est.0.56

Trading Activity438 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$13,1010d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue