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btrev

0x39c8d8...409514
Smart Score
38
Win Rate
64.9%
Total P&L
-$278
Trade Count
274
Sharpe Ratio
1.05
Sortino Ratio
6.51
Max Drawdown
256.8%
ROI
-3.0%
Profit Factor
2.43
Kelly Fraction
0.382
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
037.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL35.3¢80Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY35.6¢80Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?BUY1.9¢70Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?BUY98.2¢70Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?SELL2.5¢60Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY2.7¢60Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.6¢80Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY3.5¢80Mar 5
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?SELL94.5¢30Mar 5
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?BUY95.9¢30Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.9¢100Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.2¢100Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY3.3¢40Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY96.8¢40Mar 5
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY98.9¢110Mar 5
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY1.2¢110Mar 5
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY1.1¢130Mar 5
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.0¢130Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.8¢100Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.3¢100Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%46%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%43%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing37.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.07
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.3%
Win Consistency45.9%
Profit Factor0.98
Drawdown Resilience0.79
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.79
Weekly Sharpe est.0.60
Trading Activity274 trades · 10 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7,7650d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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