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btrnbtr

0x779c08...bfc990
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
57.4%
Total P&L
+$1.4K
Trade Count
280
Sharpe Ratio
1.56
Sortino Ratio
12.11
Max Drawdown
363.5%
ROI
14.1%
Profit Factor
2.02
Kelly Fraction
0.289
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.8¢70Mar 5
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY2.3¢70Mar 5
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.0¢120Mar 5
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY1.1¢120Mar 5
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.2¢130Mar 5
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.9¢130Mar 5
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.5¢80Mar 5
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.6¢80Mar 5
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢110Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.1¢110Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?SELL97.2¢40Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY97.4¢40Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?BUY2.1¢70Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?BUY98.0¢70Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?SELL98.9¢110Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?SELL1.0¢110Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY99.0¢110Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY1.1¢110Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.1¢70Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢70Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%43%< 10%4%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%45%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.92
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.8%
Win Consistency42.4%
Profit Factor0.91
Drawdown Resilience0.73
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73
Weekly Sharpe est.0.56
Trading Activity280 trades · 10 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6,7920d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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