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bukeyans

0x12e6b7...faba6d
Smart Score
10
Win Rate
39.2%
Total P&L
+$1
Trade Count
223
Sharpe Ratio
-0.47
Sortino Ratio
-0.41
Max Drawdown
485.8%
ROI
0.1%
Profit Factor
2.26
Kelly Fraction
0.218
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
09.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.1¢10.07Mar 5
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.3¢10.07Mar 5
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.0¢9.09Mar 5
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.0¢9.091Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢7.15Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢7.15Mar 4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.6¢10.13Mar 4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.7¢10.132Mar 4
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL98.7¢6.07Mar 4
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY98.8¢6.073Mar 4
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.8¢10.11Mar 4
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.9¢10.111Mar 4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.3¢7.11Mar 4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.4¢7.114Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY85.0¢7.059Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4AM ETBUY99.6¢5.02Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL74.0¢10.81Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY74.0¢10.811Mar 4
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.0¢7.071Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL74.6¢12.04Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%3%50–70%7%70–80%3%80–90%86%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing9.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.54
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.9%
Win Consistency46.1%
Profit Factor0.25
Drawdown Resilience0.21
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.21
Weekly Sharpe est.0.16
Trading Activity223 trades · 32 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1348d profit23d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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