bulgarin

0x75aa95...83c46f

Smart Score

Win Rate

81.8%

Total P&L

+$0

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

4.20

Sortino Ratio

40616820000000.00

Max Drawdown

20.0%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

11.45

Kelly Fraction

0.747

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

071.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	40	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	45	Mar 5
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Mar 1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	9	Mar 1
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.7¢	5.2	Mar 1
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.6¢	5.4	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	99.9¢	40.04	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	50	Mar 1
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	99.8¢	115.19	Feb 26
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	BUY	99.9¢	59.96	Feb 13
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?	BUY	99.9¢	55	Feb 13

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active71.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.94

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)65.2%

Win Consistency63.6%

Profit Factor1.86

Drawdown Resilience1.50

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.50

Weekly Sharpe est.1.15

Trading Activity11 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$4290d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue