bumbaross

0x761511...70a20f

Smart Score

Win Rate

37.3%

Total P&L

+$4.8K

Trade Count

899

Sharpe Ratio

5.28

Sortino Ratio

181.48

Max Drawdown

1.7%

ROI

253.3%

Profit Factor

13.68

Kelly Fraction

0.346

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

086/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	BUY	36.9¢	18.97	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	SELL	72.8¢	45.34	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	BUY	11.0¢	45.455	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	BUY	43.0¢	11.628	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?	SELL	62.0¢	23.05	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?	SELL	47.2¢	76.56	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	47.9¢	76.566	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	BUY	48.9¢	2.045	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?	BUY	65.9¢	23.058	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	BUY	54.9¢	9.107	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	SELL	19.1¢	18.13	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 9?	SELL	93.0¢	58.43	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	BUY	48.7¢	20.527	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	BUY	25.9¢	11.583	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	BUY	30.0¢	16.676	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 9?	BUY	95.0¢	58.432	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	BUY	41.9¢	19.086	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	BUY	53.0¢	18.868	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	23.1¢	18.139	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	BUY	4.0¢	25	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro86

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.73

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)78.3%

Win Consistency87.3%

Profit Factor2.24

Drawdown Resilience1.81

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.81

Weekly Sharpe est.1.38

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