ButterBoyBilly

0x27f32a...2e73e5

Smart Score

Win Rate

62.4%

Total P&L

+$49.0K

Trade Count

538

Sharpe Ratio

0.23

Sortino Ratio

0.40

Max Drawdown

69.4%

ROI

10.2%

Profit Factor

9.23

Kelly Fraction

0.556

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

058.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	SELL	3.8¢	33,266.21	Nov 25
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	SELL	3.7¢	5,050	Nov 25
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	SELL	3.5¢	31.429	Nov 25
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	SELL	4.1¢	8,416.8	Nov 25
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	BUY	2.9¢	201.66	Nov 25
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	BUY	2.9¢	2,007.78	Nov 25
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	BUY	3.9¢	19,555	Nov 25
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	BUY	2.9¢	10,000	Nov 25
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	BUY	3.3¢	15,000	Nov 25
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?	BUY	72.9¢	10	Feb 24
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?	BUY	71.5¢	8	Feb 24
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?	BUY	23.6¢	8	Feb 24
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?	BUY	7.4¢	8	Feb 24
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?	BUY	73.5¢	8	Feb 24
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?	BUY	8.2¢	8	Feb 24
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?	BUY	74.5¢	8	Feb 24
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?	BUY	22.2¢	8	Feb 24
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?	BUY	10.0¢	10	Feb 24
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?	BUY	22.9¢	8	Feb 24
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?	BUY	22.6¢	8	Feb 24

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active58.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.21

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)53.1%

Win Consistency67.9%

Profit Factor1.52

Drawdown Resilience1.23

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.23

Weekly Sharpe est.0.93

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue