buyrightbake

0x57cd8c...4282ac

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.8%

Total P&L

+$51.8K

Trade Count

1,000

Sharpe Ratio

0.22

Sortino Ratio

3.81

Max Drawdown

5439.8%

ROI

64.7%

Profit Factor

2.86

Kelly Fraction

0.278

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

032.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	BUY	36.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	BUY	36.0¢	7.81	Mar 4
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	BUY	36.0¢	9.36	Mar 4
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	BUY	36.0¢	7.81	Mar 4
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	BUY	50.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	BUY	36.0¢	166.66	Mar 4
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	SELL	99.9¢	883.58	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	1.0¢	144.77	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	54.0¢	124.45	Mar 4
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BUY	40.0¢	5.96	Mar 4
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BUY	40.0¢	2.4	Mar 3
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BUY	40.0¢	121.95	Mar 3
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BUY	41.0¢	222	Mar 3
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BUY	40.0¢	1.51	Mar 3
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BUY	40.0¢	50.18	Mar 3
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BUY	40.0¢	40	Mar 3
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	BUY	9.0¢	250	Mar 3
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	80.0¢	41.48	Mar 3
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	BUY	12.0¢	104	Mar 3
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	BUY	33.0¢	5	Mar 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing32.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.78

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.5%

Win Consistency42.3%

Profit Factor0.84

Drawdown Resilience0.68

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.68

Weekly Sharpe est.0.52

Trading Activity1,000 trades · 101 active days

P&L Calendar

+$1,90639d profit62d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue