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BWarGM

BWarGM

0x03ed5e...192649@MarkBarnes32079
Smart Score
32
Win Rate
63.5%
Total P&L
+$235
Trade Count
921
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01
Sortino Ratio
-0.02
Max Drawdown
300.0%
ROI
6.8%
Profit Factor
7.91
Kelly Fraction
0.555
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
032.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?SELL0.1¢73,503.99Jan 9
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?BUY80.0¢2.5Jan 9
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?BUY97.6¢2.049Jan 9
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?BUY98.5¢2.03Jan 9
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?BUY80.0¢2.5Jan 9
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?BUY0.1¢73,203.99Jan 9
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?SELL0.1¢73,203.99Jan 9
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?BUY0.1¢73,502.99Jan 9
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?SELL0.1¢73,502.99Jan 9
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?BUY0.1¢73,502.99Jan 9
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?SELL0.1¢49,999Jan 9
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?BUY0.1¢50,000Jan 9
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?SELL0.1¢57,624.9Jan 9
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?BUY0.1¢52,624.9Jan 8
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?SELL0.1¢51,000Jan 8
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?BUY0.1¢56,000Jan 8
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?SELL0.1¢57,188.65Jan 8
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?BUY0.1¢57,188.65Jan 8
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?SELL0.1¢57,188.65Jan 8
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?BUY0.1¢57,188.65Jan 8

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%93%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing32.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.77
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.3%
Win Consistency50.8%
Profit Factor0.84
Drawdown Resilience0.68
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.68
Weekly Sharpe est.0.52
Trading Activity921 trades · 43 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$79913d profit30d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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