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bynumed

0x657d85...f772fe
Smart Score
52
Win Rate
63.9%
Total P&L
-$100
Trade Count
270
Sharpe Ratio
1.45
Sortino Ratio
24.72
Max Drawdown
490.0%
ROI
-1.1%
Profit Factor
6.86
Kelly Fraction
0.546
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
051.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY50.0¢110Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY50.1¢110Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY14.7¢10Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY85.4¢10Mar 5
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.4¢130Mar 5
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.7¢130Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY94.5¢30Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY5.6¢30Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?BUY4.9¢30Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?BUY95.2¢30Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY3.5¢120Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.6¢120Mar 5
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY1.1¢120Mar 5
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.0¢120Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?BUY2.9¢110Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?BUY97.2¢110Mar 5
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY1.7¢130Mar 5
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY98.4¢130Mar 5
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY1.7¢90Mar 5
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY98.4¢90Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%43%< 10%4%10–20%20–30%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%40%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing51.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.84
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)47.0%
Win Consistency44.5%
Profit Factor1.34
Drawdown Resilience1.09
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.09
Weekly Sharpe est.0.83
Trading Activity270 trades · 10 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6,5200d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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