caiwumima

0x268fbb...877b6a

Smart Score

Win Rate

94.4%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.44

Sortino Ratio

1.57

Max Drawdown

51.3%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

8.18

Kelly Fraction

0.829

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

061.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	41.082	Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	26.026	Feb 25
Will XRP reach $4.00 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	43.043	Feb 24
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	30.03	Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 26?	BUY	99.9¢	14.014	Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on February 26?	BUY	99.7¢	25.075	Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 26?	BUY	99.8¢	28.056	Feb 24
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	BUY	99.6¢	22.088	Feb 3
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 46-47°F on January 27?	BUY	99.7¢	8.024	Jan 27
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 48-49°F on January 27?	BUY	99.9¢	20.02	Jan 27
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 50°F or higher on January 27?	BUY	99.9¢	23.023	Jan 27
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 41°C or higher on January 12?	BUY	99.9¢	13.013	Jan 11
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 41°C or higher on January 12?	BUY	99.9¢	13.013	Jan 11
Will the highest temperature in London be 0°C or below on January 10?	BUY	99.9¢	47.047	Jan 9
Will the highest temperature in London be 0°C or below on January 10?	BUY	99.9¢	47.047	Jan 9
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on January 8?	BUY	99.9¢	31.031	Jan 8
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	41.082	Dec 31
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Dec 30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	4.012	Dec 30
Will Fogo launch a token by March 31 2026?	BUY	98.4¢	1.016	Dec 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active61.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.37

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)55.7%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor1.59

Drawdown Resilience1.29

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.29

Weekly Sharpe est.0.98

Trading Activity20 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$4870d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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