Canelitaaah

0x933720...e4e9f4
Smart Score
47
Win Rate
20.8%
Total P&L
-$101
Trade Count
108
Sharpe Ratio
1.74
Sortino Ratio
252.31
Max Drawdown
52.3%
ROI
-15.5%
Profit Factor
0.60
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
047.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?BUY27.0¢5.481Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?SELL7.3¢2.22Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 5?SELL4.0¢6.66Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?SELL15.5¢6.56Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 4?BUY41.0¢108.78Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 4?BUY90.7¢121.263Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 4?BUY0.2¢6,542.81Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 4?SELL76.1¢121.71Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 4?BUY77.0¢121.716Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 3?SELL99.9¢7.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 3?BUY27.9¢93.759Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 3?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 3?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 3?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 3?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 3?SELL97.9¢29.93Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 3?SELL1.8¢7.14Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 3?SELL6.0¢6.66Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 3?BUY89.9¢6.674Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 3?BUY86.0¢23.262Mar 3
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%23%< 10%30%10–20%10%20–30%19%30–50%10%50–70%4%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing47.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.60
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.0%
Win Consistency48.4%
Profit Factor1.23
Drawdown Resilience0.99
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.99
Weekly Sharpe est.0.76
Trading Activity108 trades · 8 active days
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P&L Calendar
$3051d profit7d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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