capib

0x204b38...ed8ca3

Smart Score

Win Rate

35.1%

Total P&L

+$12.3K

Trade Count

3,884

Sharpe Ratio

1.93

Sortino Ratio

21.20

Max Drawdown

72.9%

ROI

15.4%

Profit Factor

1.63

Kelly Fraction

0.136

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

052.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	10.1¢	142.55	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	10.4¢	800.36	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	13.9¢	52.73	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	11.4¢	79.69	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	30.7¢	383.22	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	11.3¢	47.768	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	11.3¢	1.26	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	11.2¢	100	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	11.9¢	1.92	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	11.9¢	1.07	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	1,771.4	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	1.2¢	1,676.32	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	23.9¢	513.86	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	22.9¢	67.87	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	22.6¢	4.17	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	22.8¢	30	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	22.8¢	67.14	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	24.1¢	25.14	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	24.0¢	42.58	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	23.8¢	46.98	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing52.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.89

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)47.8%

Win Consistency45.7%

Profit Factor1.37

Drawdown Resilience1.10

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.10

Weekly Sharpe est.0.84

Trading Activity3,884 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,4386d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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